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Temporal Resolution of Ambiguity: Preferences for Timing and Graduality

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280
Author
Pascal Kieren Gleb Gertsman Stefan T. Trautmann
Category
Quantitative
Date Posted
2022/08/09
Date Retrieved
2024/05/08
Date Revised
2024/05/07
Date Written
2022/08/03
Description
We study agents’ preferences for ambiguity resolution in dynamic environments. In an extension of the original Ellsberg experiment we first show the existence of preferences for late and gradual resolution of ambiguity. Most importantly we document a strong interdependence between agents’ attitude towards ambiguity and the preference for the timing and graduality of the resolution of ambiguity. We then compare our results to the predictions of popular recursive models of ambiguity aversion. Out of the considered ambiguity models only the smooth ambiguity model (Klibanoff Marinacci and Mukerji 2005) is flexible enough to accomodate the observed preferences.
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JEL Classifications
C91 D81
Keywords
Uncertainty Aversion Preference for Early Resolution of Uncertainty Probabilistic Sophistication Recursive Models of Ambiguity
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Pages
68
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